Scouting Report
Michael Misa holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Misa on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Misa wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Misa 45.1% vs Buchnevich 43.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.4%
Defensive zone
Misa 67.2%
Neutral zone
Misa 57.2%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Misa
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Misa
Buchnevich
Last 10: Misa 4-6 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Misa
3
0
Misa
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Misa
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Misa
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Misa
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (247)
39.8% (181)
+3.9%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
42.9% (14)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
30.0% (10)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Buchnevich has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Misa is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Misa shoots left. Buchnevich is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Misa
Buchnevich
Home
52.3% (107)
40.7% (118)
Away
36.8% (152)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Misa
Buchnevich
P1
41.0%
41.6%
P2
41.3%
34.3%
P3
48.6%
42.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Misa
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.2%
Buchnevich
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Michael Misa |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Michael Misa |