Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Rasmussen wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.8% vs Paul 53.6% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Paul 55.8%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 50.1%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 50.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Rasmussen
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (248)
53.7% (354)
-6.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
59.0% (61)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
52.9% (34)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Rasmussen shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Paul
Home
50.0% (98)
55.1% (216)
Away
45.4% (174)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Rasmussen
Paul
P1
40.2%
54.9%
P2
55.8%
54.5%
P3
43.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%