Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Rasmussen wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.8% vs Zacha 51.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 65.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 66.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Rasmussen
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rasmussen
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Rasmussen
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
0
Rasmussen
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (248)
53.0% (700)
-6.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.1% (109)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
39.2% (74)
+4.6%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Rasmussen shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Zacha
Home
50.0% (98)
51.6% (438)
Away
45.4% (174)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Rasmussen
Zacha
P1
40.2%
57.0%
P2
55.8%
48.9%
P3
43.0%
50.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |