Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rasmussen wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.8% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.9%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 55.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Rasmussen
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (248)
52.6% (464)
-5.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
100.0% (1)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
46.5% (155)
-2.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Rasmussen shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Kuraly
Home
50.0% (98)
55.9% (322)
Away
45.4% (174)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Rasmussen
Kuraly
P1
40.2%
55.9%
P2
55.8%
46.7%
P3
43.0%
50.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |