Michael Sgarbossa vs Pontus Holmberg
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.5%). Look for Sgarbossa on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sgarbossa wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 45.9% vs Holmberg 46.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 51.5%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 50.4%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 50.7%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Last 5: Sgarbossa 3-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
2
1
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
1
0
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (588)
45.3% (676)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
50.0% (22)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.9% (61)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Sgarbossa is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Holmberg is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Home
42.5% (320)
46.2% (422)
Away
48.3% (296)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
P1
45.0%
53.1%
P2
47.1%
40.9%
P3
43.9%
42.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.3%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |