Michael Sgarbossa vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.7%). Look for Sgarbossa on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sgarbossa wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Sgarbossa 45.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Sgarbossa 50.3%
Defensive zone Sgarbossa 59.5%
Neutral zone Sgarbossa 58.9%
Result Michael Sgarbossa favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 1 (7 meetings)
6
1
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Sgarbossa 6-1 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
3
1
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
1
0
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
2
0
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Sgarbossa
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (588)
44.8% (8,775)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
50.6% (844)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
37.8% (880)
+2.2%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sgarbossa is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
42.5% (320)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
48.3% (296)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.0%
45.1%
P2
47.1%
43.9%
P3
43.9%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
40.5%
43.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%
50.0%
45.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%
48.5%
44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 22, 2017 2 00:21 Neutral Michael Sgarbossa
Feb 22, 2017 1 18:04 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 22, 2017 1 09:08 Neutral Michael Sgarbossa
Jan 18, 2017 3 11:32 Offensive Michael Sgarbossa
Jan 18, 2017 2 18:08 Offensive Michael Sgarbossa
Jan 18, 2017 2 00:13 Defensive Michael Sgarbossa
Nov 15, 2016 2 04:16 Offensive Michael Sgarbossa