Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 45.5%). Sgarbossa wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 47.8% vs Bennett 45.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 78.9%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 57.1%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 55.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Sgarbossa
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sgarbossa
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Sgarbossa
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
1
0
Sgarbossa
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Sgarbossa
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (121)
44.7% (772)
-0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
56.9% (58)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
42.9% (28)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Sgarbossa has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Sgarbossa is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Bennett
Home
41.1% (56)
48.5% (447)
Away
50.0% (70)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Bennett
P1
38.5%
47.1%
P2
47.7%
45.8%
P3
48.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
46.0%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |