Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 77.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 61.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Cozens
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Cozens
Zibanejad
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
53.3% (807)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
47.6% (42)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.3% (147)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cozens shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zibanejad
Home
54.8% (383)
49.8% (466)
Away
52.3% (354)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Cozens
Zibanejad
P1
56.0%
52.9%
P2
51.2%
51.2%
P3
53.9%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |