Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Rodrigues wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.9% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 63.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 64.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 64.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Last 10: Rodrigues 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
4
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (560)
49.5% (1,211)
-2.9%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
52.8% (214)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
47.4% (247)
+2.6%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Rodrigues is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
Home
48.5% (379)
52.8% (825)
Away
43.5% (276)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zibanejad
P1
48.8%
50.8%
P2
43.8%
46.5%
P3
45.6%
52.0%
OT
77.8%
48.5%
Final 5 min
40.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
46.4%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |