Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Thompson 54.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 69.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Zibanejad
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zibanejad
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Zibanejad
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
55.5% (236)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
60.0% (5)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
56.5% (46)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Thompson
Home
55.2% (656)
53.1% (128)
Away
49.6% (682)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Zibanejad
Thompson
P1
56.3%
59.0%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
51.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |