Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
49.7% (292)
+3.6%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
50.0% (6)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
47.2% (36)
-0.9%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Home
49.8% (466)
48.7% (193)
Away
54.0% (530)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
P1
52.9%
41.5%
P2
51.2%
57.3%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |