Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.0%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 35-26 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 65.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Zibanejad
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
35
(61 meetings)
26
35
Zibanejad
Bonino
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
15
13
Zibanejad
Bonino
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
13
Zibanejad
Bonino
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
9
Zibanejad
Bonino
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
50.6% (8,315)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
54.1% (972)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
44.6% (1,693)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bonino
Home
51.6% (7,603)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bonino
P1
50.4%
50.6%
P2
49.7%
48.5%
P3
49.9%
51.1%
OT
48.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |