Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 59.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
4
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
45.9% (697)
+7.4%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
47.9% (117)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
48.0% (25)
-1.7%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zibanejad shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Home
49.8% (466)
44.9% (434)
Away
54.0% (530)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
P1
52.9%
41.5%
P2
51.2%
46.7%
P3
51.7%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |