Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.1%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Zacha 49.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 37-32 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 60.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Zibanejad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
37
(69 meetings)
32
37
Zibanejad
Zacha
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
11
14
Zibanejad
Zacha
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
11
12
Zibanejad
Zacha
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
10
11
Zibanejad
Zacha
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (11,540)
48.8% (4,953)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.2% (1,848)
55.8% (788)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (1,766)
42.0% (547)
-0.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,527).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zacha is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,472).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zacha
Home
51.6% (7,444)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
48.3% (7,711)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zacha
P1
50.4%
49.9%
P2
49.7%
49.1%
P3
49.8%
47.9%
OT
48.5%
54.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |