Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Zacha 49.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 37-32 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 59.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Zibanejad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
37
(69 meetings)
32
37
Zibanejad
Zacha
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
11
14
Zibanejad
Zacha
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
11
12
Zibanejad
Zacha
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
10
11
Zibanejad
Zacha
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
48.9% (5,156)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
55.7% (813)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
42.2% (557)
-0.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zacha
Home
51.6% (7,603)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zacha
P1
50.4%
49.9%
P2
49.7%
49.2%
P3
49.9%
48.2%
OT
48.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |