Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Rakell 40.7% (+16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 96.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 87.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Zibanejad
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
35.3% (136)
+18.0%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
43.8% (32)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
0.0% (7)
+46.3%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zibanejad shoots right. Rakell is 30.7% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Rakell
Home
49.8% (466)
41.5% (82)
Away
54.0% (530)
30.1% (93)
By Period
Zibanejad
Rakell
P1
52.9%
35.6%
P2
51.2%
37.3%
P3
51.7%
31.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |