Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Hartman 45.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 61.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 61.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Zibanejad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Zibanejad
Hartman
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
5
Zibanejad
Hartman
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
5
Zibanejad
Hartman
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Zibanejad
Hartman
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
45.2% (4,279)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
47.3% (446)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
42.4% (262)
-0.8%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Zibanejad shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Hartman
Home
51.6% (7,603)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Zibanejad
Hartman
P1
50.4%
46.1%
P2
49.7%
42.9%
P3
49.9%
46.7%
OT
48.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |