Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Bennett 48.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 83.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 77.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Zibanejad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Zibanejad
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Zibanejad
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
46.4% (811)
+6.9%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
56.9% (153)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
47.8% (46)
-1.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bennett
Home
49.8% (466)
49.9% (553)
Away
54.0% (530)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bennett
P1
52.9%
47.4%
P2
51.2%
46.8%
P3
51.7%
48.9%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |