Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 78.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 51.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 60.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Zibanejad
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Zibanejad
Gagner
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Zibanejad
Gagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
4
Zibanejad
Gagner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
45.4% (4,699)
+5.5%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
51.5% (928)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
35.0% (226)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gagner
Home
51.6% (7,603)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gagner
P1
50.4%
44.6%
P2
49.7%
46.1%
P3
49.9%
47.3%
OT
48.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |