Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Steel 50.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 69.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Zibanejad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Zibanejad
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
52.5% (200)
+0.8%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
71.4% (7)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
40.0% (45)
+6.3%
On power play, Steel has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Steel
Home
49.8% (466)
49.5% (109)
Away
54.0% (530)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Zibanejad
Steel
P1
52.9%
49.5%
P2
51.2%
47.5%
P3
51.7%
56.6%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |