Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.2%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Steel 50.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 51.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Zibanejad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Zibanejad
Steel
Last 10: Zibanejad 8-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
6
7
Zibanejad
Steel
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
2
Zibanejad
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
6
Zibanejad
Steel
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (11,540)
50.5% (2,871)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.2% (1,848)
62.6% (179)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (1,766)
37.8% (246)
+3.5%
On power play, Steel has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,527).
Zibanejad shoots right. Steel is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Steel
Home
51.6% (7,444)
50.0% (1,551)
Away
48.3% (7,711)
50.3% (1,745)
By Period
Zibanejad
Steel
P1
50.4%
51.9%
P2
49.7%
49.5%
P3
49.8%
49.5%
OT
48.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |