Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.2%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Steel 50.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 52.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Zibanejad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Zibanejad
Steel
Last 10: Zibanejad 8-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
6
7
Zibanejad
Steel
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
2
Zibanejad
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
6
Zibanejad
Steel
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
50.6% (2,876)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
62.6% (179)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
37.4% (254)
+4.2%
On power play, Steel has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Steel
Home
51.6% (7,603)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Zibanejad
Steel
P1
50.4%
51.9%
P2
49.7%
49.5%
P3
49.9%
49.6%
OT
48.7%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |