Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Couturier 53.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 59.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Zibanejad
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Zibanejad
Couturier
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
1
Zibanejad
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
Zibanejad
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
53.9% (792)
-0.6%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
62.9% (70)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
51.3% (234)
-5.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Couturier
Home
49.8% (466)
51.4% (541)
Away
54.0% (530)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Zibanejad
Couturier
P1
52.9%
56.0%
P2
51.2%
52.6%
P3
51.7%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |