Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.7% vs Couturier 53.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Zibanejad
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Zibanejad
Couturier
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
1
Zibanejad
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
Zibanejad
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (591)
52.6% (624)
+1.2%
Power Play
47.4% (38)
66.7% (66)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (117)
53.2% (188)
-9.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Zibanejad shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Couturier
Home
48.2% (307)
50.7% (424)
Away
54.4% (439)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Zibanejad
Couturier
P1
54.0%
55.5%
P2
51.0%
51.7%
P3
50.6%
55.2%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |