Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Pinto 51.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 60.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 71.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Zibanejad
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zibanejad
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Zibanejad
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
50.5% (556)
+2.8%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
68.0% (25)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
51.1% (94)
-4.8%
On power play, Pinto has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zibanejad shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Pinto
Home
49.8% (466)
50.0% (310)
Away
54.0% (530)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Zibanejad
Pinto
P1
52.9%
51.8%
P2
51.2%
49.8%
P3
51.7%
53.1%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |