Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Crosby 55.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 79.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Zibanejad
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Zibanejad
Crosby
Last 10: Zibanejad 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
9
Zibanejad
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
0
Zibanejad
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
53.3% (1,025)
+0.0%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
64.7% (249)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
60.0% (15)
-13.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Crosby
Home
49.8% (466)
56.9% (675)
Away
54.0% (530)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Zibanejad
Crosby
P1
52.9%
55.1%
P2
51.2%
53.1%
P3
51.7%
58.5%
OT
60.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
57.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |