Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frederic on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Frederic 54.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Zibanejad
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Zibanejad
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
1
3
Zibanejad
Frederic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
57.6% (151)
-4.3%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
66.7% (3)
-19.1%
On power play, Frederic has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Frederic is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Frederic
Home
49.8% (466)
55.6% (81)
Away
54.0% (530)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Zibanejad
Frederic
P1
52.9%
57.7%
P2
51.2%
54.3%
P3
51.7%
60.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |