Alexander Kerfoot vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Backlund 49.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 27-13 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 69.9%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 55.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 61.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Kerfoot
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
27
(40 meetings)
13
27
Kerfoot
Backlund
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
2
Kerfoot
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
9
Kerfoot
Backlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
16
Kerfoot
Backlund
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
49.7% (13,463)
-0.9%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
51.5% (1,338)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
43.9% (2,465)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Backlund
Home
51.0% (1,795)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Kerfoot
Backlund
P1
47.4%
48.5%
P2
46.0%
50.3%
P3
50.5%
48.4%
OT
29.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |