Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Backlund 49.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 52.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 52.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Shaw
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Shaw
Backlund
Last 5: Shaw 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Shaw
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
49.2% (884)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
44.3% (61)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
57.0% (86)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Backlund is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Shaw
Backlund
Home
50.0% (152)
49.3% (531)
Away
45.3% (232)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Shaw
Backlund
P1
44.8%
47.1%
P2
46.0%
53.7%
P3
50.4%
47.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |