Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Backlund 50.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 75.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 89.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Point
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Point
Backlund
Last 8: Point 5-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
1
Point
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Point
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
51.0% (1,205)
-5.1%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
59.3% (108)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
42.3% (234)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Point
Backlund
Home
45.8% (286)
51.2% (782)
Away
45.5% (358)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Point
Backlund
P1
45.9%
51.5%
P2
48.8%
49.8%
P3
40.6%
49.9%
OT
62.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
40.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |