Evan Rodrigues vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Backlund 49.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 50.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Rodrigues
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Rodrigues
Backlund
Last 10: Rodrigues 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
10
5
Rodrigues
Backlund
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Rodrigues
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
49.7% (13,449)
-3.5%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
51.5% (1,338)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
44.0% (2,461)
-1.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,245).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Backlund
Home
47.1% (1,836)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Rodrigues
Backlund
P1
46.9%
48.5%
P2
46.1%
50.3%
P3
44.4%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Backlund
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | OT | 02:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | OT | 01:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |