Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Backlund 49.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 80.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.3%
Neutral zone
Minten 59.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Minten
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Minten
Backlund
Last 7: Minten 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Minten
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
50.5% (944)
-0.9%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
51.5% (66)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
47.1% (297)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Minten
Backlund
Home
52.4% (349)
48.1% (636)
Away
45.3% (397)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Minten
Backlund
P1
45.4%
45.4%
P2
47.1%
54.1%
P3
52.3%
49.2%
OT
83.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |