Gabriel Vilardi vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vilardi wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Backlund 49.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 90.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.6%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Vilardi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Vilardi
Backlund
Last 6: Vilardi 3-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
1
Vilardi
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Vilardi
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
50.5% (944)
-9.1%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
51.5% (66)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.1% (297)
-47.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Vilardi shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Backlund
Home
40.0% (50)
48.1% (636)
Away
45.7% (46)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Vilardi
Backlund
P1
48.6%
45.4%
P2
37.1%
54.1%
P3
41.7%
49.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |