Jonathan Marchessault vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Marchessault wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Marchessault 94.3%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 58.2%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 86.4%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Marchessault
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Marchessault
Backlund
Last 10: Marchessault 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Marchessault
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
5
Marchessault
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
6
Marchessault
Backlund
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (1,441)
49.7% (13,463)
-8.3%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
51.5% (1,338)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
43.9% (2,465)
+0.5%
On even strength, Backlund has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Marchessault is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,122).
Marchessault shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Backlund
Home
42.6% (892)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
41.0% (822)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Marchessault
Backlund
P1
43.3%
48.5%
P2
42.2%
50.3%
P3
39.9%
48.4%
OT
42.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
41.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |