Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Modano 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 59.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Backlund
Modano
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backlund
Modano
Last 8: Backlund 5-3 Modano
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Modano
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Modano
0
1
Backlund
Modano
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Modano
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Modano
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
47.7% (266)
+2.0%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
100.0% (5)
-48.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
0.0% (2)
+43.9%
On power play, Modano has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Modano shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Backlund
Modano
Home
49.7% (8,621)
51.1% (139)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
45.9% (135)
By Period
Backlund
Modano
P1
48.5%
52.6%
P2
50.3%
42.3%
P3
48.4%
51.9%
OT
45.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mike Modano |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |