Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Kadri 46.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 57.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 94.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 75.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Backlund
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Backlund
Kadri
Last 5: Backlund 5-0 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
46.5% (866)
+4.0%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
48.8% (86)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
38.5% (13)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kadri
Home
48.1% (636)
45.8% (513)
Away
51.4% (671)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Backlund
Kadri
P1
45.4%
52.4%
P2
54.1%
48.5%
P3
49.2%
39.7%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |