Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.6%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Kadri 48.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 37-33 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 64.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Backlund
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
33
(70 meetings)
37
33
Backlund
Kadri
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
11
13
Backlund
Kadri
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
13
9
Backlund
Kadri
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
13
11
Backlund
Kadri
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
48.1% (12,555)
+1.6%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
53.0% (1,892)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
41.0% (293)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kadri
Home
49.7% (8,621)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Backlund
Kadri
P1
48.5%
49.1%
P2
50.3%
48.7%
P3
48.4%
47.9%
OT
45.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |