Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 51.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Backlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Backlund
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
49.7% (292)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
50.0% (6)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
47.2% (36)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bjugstad
Home
48.1% (636)
48.7% (193)
Away
51.4% (671)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Backlund
Bjugstad
P1
45.4%
41.5%
P2
54.1%
57.3%
P3
49.2%
50.0%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |