Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 55-48 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Backlund
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
55
(103 meetings)
48
55
Backlund
Bonino
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
18
15
Backlund
Bonino
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
10
18
Backlund
Bonino
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
20
22
Backlund
Bonino
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
50.6% (8,315)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
54.1% (972)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
44.6% (1,693)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bonino
Home
49.7% (8,621)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Backlund
Bonino
P1
48.5%
50.6%
P2
50.3%
48.5%
P3
48.4%
51.1%
OT
45.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |