Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 83.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 63.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Backlund
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Backlund
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Backlund
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
37.7% (53)
+14.2%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
40.9% (44)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
66.7% (3)
-22.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Backlund
Schmaltz
Home
51.9% (673)
34.7% (49)
Away
49.9% (713)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Backlund
Schmaltz
P1
51.4%
25.9%
P2
50.5%
46.2%
P3
51.4%
42.1%
OT
35.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |