Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 51 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 85-55 in 140 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 64.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Backlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
85
-
55
(140 meetings)
85
55
Backlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
21
29
Backlund
Suzuki
50 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
39
12
Backlund
Suzuki
51 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
25
14
Backlund
Suzuki
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
49.4% (6,368)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
50.8% (1,355)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
44.0% (466)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Backlund shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suzuki
Home
49.7% (8,621)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Backlund
Suzuki
P1
48.5%
48.9%
P2
50.3%
49.1%
P3
48.4%
50.3%
OT
45.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |