Mikael Backlund vs Noah Ostlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.1% vs Ostlund 35.0% (+20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 91.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Backlund
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Ostlund
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Ostlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Backlund
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,231)
29.5% (227)
+20.2%
Power Play
51.5% (1,323)
0.0% (7)
+51.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,385)
33.3% (3)
+10.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,786).
Backlund shoots left. Ostlund is 26.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ostlund
Home
49.8% (8,434)
34.4% (128)
Away
48.3% (8,510)
22.0% (109)
By Period
Backlund
Ostlund
P1
48.6%
33.7%
P2
50.3%
27.1%
P3
48.4%
24.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
24.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Ostlund
22.0%▼
27.0%
28.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |