Mikael Backlund vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Danault 54.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Backlund
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backlund
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Backlund
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Backlund
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
56.2% (745)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
45.1% (51)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
51.6% (124)
-4.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Backlund
Danault
Home
48.1% (636)
56.7% (402)
Away
51.4% (671)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Backlund
Danault
P1
45.4%
55.5%
P2
54.1%
54.2%
P3
49.2%
55.2%
OT
55.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |