Mikael Backlund vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Dubois 48.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 64.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Backlund
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Backlund
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
44.8% (259)
+5.7%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
70.6% (34)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
75.0% (8)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dubois
Home
48.1% (636)
46.6% (163)
Away
51.4% (671)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Backlund
Dubois
P1
45.4%
44.0%
P2
54.1%
51.5%
P3
49.2%
49.5%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |