Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.1% vs Nash 48.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 52.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Backlund
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Backlund
Nash
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
3
Backlund
Nash
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Nash
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
5
Backlund
Nash
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,231)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.0%
Power Play
51.5% (1,323)
51.0% (249)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,385)
44.9% (550)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,158).
Backlund shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nash
Home
49.8% (8,434)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
48.3% (8,510)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Backlund
Nash
P1
48.6%
49.0%
P2
50.3%
47.9%
P3
48.4%
48.0%
OT
44.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 4, 2020 | OT | 01:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |