Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Colton 51.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 56.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Backlund
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Backlund
Colton
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Backlund
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
2
5
Backlund
Colton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
51.6% (1,803)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
48.8% (162)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
34.5% (29)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Backlund
Colton
Home
49.7% (8,621)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Backlund
Colton
P1
48.5%
53.7%
P2
50.3%
52.6%
P3
48.4%
47.9%
OT
45.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |