Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Hartman 45.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 76.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Backlund
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Backlund
Hartman
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Backlund
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Backlund
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
45.1% (874)
+5.4%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
47.4% (95)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
37.5% (16)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Backlund
Hartman
Home
48.1% (636)
45.0% (515)
Away
51.4% (671)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Backlund
Hartman
P1
45.4%
47.3%
P2
54.1%
40.1%
P3
49.2%
48.3%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |