Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs McLeod 47.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Backlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
49.0% (827)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
44.0% (91)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
43.0% (272)
+4.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Backlund
McLeod
Home
48.1% (636)
48.5% (619)
Away
51.4% (671)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Backlund
McLeod
P1
45.4%
52.7%
P2
54.1%
43.9%
P3
49.2%
45.8%
OT
55.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |