Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Poehling 48.0% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Backlund
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Backlund
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
50.4% (680)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
58.3% (12)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
38.8% (219)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Backlund
Poehling
Home
48.1% (636)
47.4% (422)
Away
51.4% (671)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Backlund
Poehling
P1
45.4%
53.3%
P2
54.1%
40.3%
P3
49.2%
50.0%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |