Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.1% vs Strome 44.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 40-34 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Backlund
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
34
(74 meetings)
40
34
Backlund
Strome
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
9
17
Backlund
Strome
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
26
5
Backlund
Strome
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
5
12
Backlund
Strome
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,231)
44.2% (6,744)
+5.5%
Power Play
51.5% (1,323)
49.4% (848)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,385)
41.5% (407)
+2.4%
On even strength, Backlund has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,158).
Backlund shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,655).
Home / Away
Backlund
Strome
Home
49.8% (8,434)
44.4% (3,997)
Away
48.3% (8,510)
44.8% (4,002)
By Period
Backlund
Strome
P1
48.6%
44.2%
P2
50.3%
45.2%
P3
48.4%
44.4%
OT
44.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |