Mikael Backlund vs Sam Lafferty
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 68.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 64.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Backlund
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Backlund
Lafferty
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
3
Backlund
Lafferty
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Lafferty
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
3
Backlund
Lafferty
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
47.9% (1,417)
+1.8%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
45.7% (46)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
43.5% (184)
+0.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Backlund shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Backlund
Lafferty
Home
49.7% (8,621)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Backlund
Lafferty
P1
48.5%
49.4%
P2
50.3%
43.1%
P3
48.4%
49.6%
OT
45.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |