Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 56.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 90.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 67.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Backlund
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
39.0% (77)
+11.5%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
35.4% (48)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
40.9% (22)
+6.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Backlund
Reinhart
Home
48.1% (636)
35.7% (84)
Away
51.4% (671)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Backlund
Reinhart
P1
45.4%
42.6%
P2
54.1%
34.7%
P3
49.2%
37.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |