Mikael Backlund vs Samuel Helenius
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Helenius 46.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 69.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.8%
Neutral zone
Helenius 57.6%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Backlund
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backlund
Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
3
Backlund
Helenius
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
45.8% (212)
+4.7%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
0.0% (1)
+51.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
25.0% (4)
+22.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Helenius is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Backlund
Helenius
Home
48.1% (636)
46.2% (104)
Away
51.4% (671)
44.2% (113)
By Period
Backlund
Helenius
P1
45.4%
51.3%
P2
54.1%
38.6%
P3
49.2%
44.8%
Final 5 min
48.5%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |